FinOps Pilote by AB Conseil
Budget planning & forecast

Cloud budget forecasting: build a credible next-year budget

Consumption varies, projects come in, prices change. We help you estimate what the cloud will cost you tomorrow, from your real consumption, your environments and what you tell us.

Why a cloud budget is so hard to build

Unlike a datacenter, the cloud has no fixed cost. The bill follows usage, new projects, migrations, price changes and even exchange rates, since prices are often set in dollars. Extending the trend of the last few months isn't enough: it is the best way to discover an overrun mid-year.

The three inputs of a credible budget

  1. Your current run: real consumption by application and environment, its trend and its seasonality.
  2. Your announced projects: new applications, cloud migrations, scale-ups, decommissioning. Every announcement is costed (SKUs, volumes, prod and non-prod environments).
  3. Levers and context: planned savings (remediation plan, reservations), commitment expiry dates, price changes and the USD/EUR exchange rate.

An example build-up, where planned savings take the budget from €6.1M down to €5.3M, is shown further down this page.

Scenarios to support decisions

We build several scenarios (cautious, likely, with or without optimizations) so IT can defend its budget in front of finance, assumption by assumption, and see the impact of each decision before making it.

A living forecast, with alerts

Once the budget is approved, the year-end forecast is recalculated continuously from billing data. As soon as a scope is on track to exceed its budget, its owner gets an alert, months before the end of the fiscal year. The variance is explained at the monthly SteerCo. See our dashboard and alerting page.

The most common mistakes

  • Extrapolating past consumption linearly.
  • Forgetting the non-prod environments of new projects.
  • Forgetting that a reservation ends, and the return to pay-as-you-go pricing.
  • Ignoring the effect of the exchange rate on dollar-based prices.
  • Counting the same saving twice in the planned savings.

FAQ

Can you help us build our cloud budget?

Yes. We estimate your future costs from your real consumption, your environments and the projects you tell us about, factoring in planned savings and price changes. You get a well-argued next-year budget by application, with scenarios.

How often is the forecast updated?

Continuously, with every billing data update. Overrun alerts are sent to the owner of the scope concerned.

How do you include a project that hasn't started yet?

We cost each announced project from its target architecture: SKUs, volumes, prod and non-prod environments, and start date. The estimate is refined as the project moves forward.

Budget planning & forecast

Know today what the cloud will cost you tomorrow

Building next year's cloud budget is hard: consumption varies, projects come in, prices change. We help you estimate your future costs from your real consumption, your environments and the projects you tell us about.

1

Your current run

Real consumption by application and environment, its trend and its seasonality.

2

Your announced projects

New applications, cloud migrations, scale-ups, decommissioning: every announcement is costed (SKUs, volumes, prod and non-prod environments).

3

Levers and context

Planned savings (remediation plan, reservations), commitment expiry dates, price changes and the USD/EUR exchange rate.

Building next year's budget

€5.0M
2026 run
+0.4
Run growth
+0.9
New projects
−0.2
Decommis­sioning
−0.8
Planned savings
€5.3M
2027 budget
Illustration, in €M. Without the planned savings, the 2027 budget would be €6.1M.

A well-argued budget

A next-year budget by application and business unit, which IT can defend in front of finance, assumption by assumption.

Scenarios

Cautious, likely, with or without optimizations: you see the impact of each decision before you make it.

A living forecast

The forecast is recalculated continuously and compared with the budget. Any drift triggers an alert, and the variance is explained at the SteerCo.

First conversation

How much are you losing every month on a poorly optimized cloud?

SMEs: we are paid 20% of the annual savings achieved. Large enterprises: day-rate engagement. A first 30-minute conversation, no commitment.